Day to Day Numbers

There are 86 work days between tomorrow and July 22nd. For this exercise, July 22nd is the latest PC would send an invite (6 weeks ahead of early Sept).

Tomorrow there is a 1/86 chance that I’ll get invited, or 1.16%. That is slightly higher than the chances of being born as a twin in North America (1.11%).

Wednesday there is a 1/85 chance I’ll get invited, or 1.18%.

On my birthday there is a 1/65 chance I’ll get invited, or 1.54%.

On June 10th there is a 1/30 chance I’ll get invited, or 3.33%. That is slightly lower than the chances of getting hemorrhoids (4%).

These odds assume all days are created equal. My guess is that the May-June time frame is the most likely area. So if there are 86 days left, tomorrow’s chance dips down to maybe .5% while some of the days in May and June get bumped up to 3 or 4%.

Just another dorky take on my situation.

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